Quote:
Originally Posted by c.t.ner
If 35 PC decided to sit as independents, I imagine that would reduce the PCs below the number of Wildrose members. (I don't have a calculator in front of me and can never remember the number of seats in the Alberta Leg). Then if I'm not mistake Wildrose would be given the chance to form government because they have the most party members and they could form a coalition.
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35 MLAs sitting as independents would be an unmitigated disaster for the PCs. It wouldn't push Redford out right away though. The theoretical number would be (I think):
PC 25
WRP 17
LIB 5
NDP 2
IND 36
(I counted Webber as one of the 35, and there was already one independent.)
That right there is a scandal-plagued house. In that scenario, I would imagine the opposition would instigate a vote of no confidence, which would place the independents in a massively awkward situation. They either follow through on their discontent with Redford and support the motion, or they side with Redford anyway. If the former, the PCs would be a hot mess in a snap election. Wildrose and the Liberals would eat them alive - and hell, this is probably the only way a Liberal party becomes relevant in this province. But if they choose the latter, then every independent that sides with Redford after leaving because of her becomes open for attack in the next election.
Realistically, if half the PC caucus crossed the floor, it would be the end of the party. They won't go down that route. They would quietly knife Redford in the back until she finally bleeds out, then try to restore the party from within.