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Old 03-11-2014, 06:06 PM   #1261
Caged Great
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Quote:
Originally Posted by The Fonz View Post
You dropped Knight from #6 to #14 in 7 months?

What happened to:



For as long as you continue to use absolute values to project prospects, I will continue to dig them up down the road.

You said in the very same thread where I got the above quote from that unless Knight was injured, he was a sure thing to start the season with the Flames.

"Sure thing" should never be used in describing prospects, especially ones who have yet to even play a pro game.

Also, thank you for digging this stuff up. It helps.

There is a reason why I use absolute values when projecting prospects. I am trying to improve my scouting abilities, so if say that Poirier blows and misses entirely, and I've been saying that he's going to be a 3rd liner + with 1st line upside, then I can see that I screwed up my estimation, and then can examine why I rated him so high, and why he didn't reach what I was seeing in him. Similarly, I can't go back and say that such and such a prospect was awesome from day one if they randomly breakout and it was completely unnoticed by me.

More information helps me improve, and that is always a good thing, whether the info is positive or negative.
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