The article is based on the impact of poll results taken BEFORE the 2nd Presidential debate.
It seems to me the first debate cost Bush about 5% as he seemed to be leading 52-47 or 53-48, etc. before settling down into a tie.
The issue is whether or not a better performance in St. Louis recovered the 5% who were with him before but drifted off after he sucked wind in the first debate then was submarined by a series of bad news through the ensuing week.
This oft-quoted site is putting Kerry ahead 271-238 in the electoral college and includes some post-2nd debate polling.
http://www.electoral-vote.com/
Cowperson