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Old 03-09-2014, 02:22 PM   #13
Alberta_Beef
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Canada 02 View Post
is there evidence that the long line change leads to more goals scored? In other words, are there more goals scored in the 2nd period than other periods?

Also, are more goals scored in 4 on 4 play than 5 on 5?

Longer OT is obvious. There is 1 goals scored every ~11 minutes in a typical NHL game, so if OT was increased to 10 minutes, ~91% of OT games should end before the shootout. That doesn't factor in long line changes or 4 on 4.
Yes, more goals are scored in the 2nd period than other period. Goal scoring by period from 97/98 (that is as far back as NHL.com went) until now is broken down as follows:

1st Period: 29.700%
2nd Period: 34.691%
3rd Period: 33.809%
Overtime: 1.800%

Edit: to add to this, 7-8% of all 3rd period goals are empty netters as well. So realistically the 2nd period shows significantly higher scoring with the 3rd period actually being the lowest scoring.

Last edited by Alberta_Beef; 03-09-2014 at 02:30 PM.
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