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Old 03-08-2014, 05:42 PM   #67
Caged Great
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Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: Calgary
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What I think it that you should have the draft lottery % not entirely based off of standings.

Say you have the current weighted models based off standings

1st - 25.0%
2nd - 18.8%
3rd - 14.2%
4th - 10.7%
5th - 8.1%
6th - 6.2%
7th - 4.7%
8th - 3.6%
9th - 2.7%
10th - 2.1%
11th - 1.5%
12th - 1.1%
13th - 0.8%
14th - 0.5%

Now starting at the trade deadline, take note of team's winning percentages. From that point to the end of the season, rank teams based off of how much better/worse the teams are.

So say a team like Nashville who's was a lot worse would be ranked below a team like Calgary who finished strong. This is the anti tank measure.

Rank each of the teams as above.

Add the two columns (final standings and the Anti Tank standings) together and divide by two.

That way teams that try towards the end of the year actually have a better chance than a team tries to tank, while not really discriminating against the really poor teams.
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