A few years ago I read George Friedman's
The Next 100 Years, where he discusses at length the prediction of a second collapse of Russia. Ukraine figures prominently in the predictions, not so surprising given the history and that the Orange Revolution had occurred only 3 years before the book was published.
A snipet from the Stratfor blog, which George Friedman runs:
"Russia's grand strategy involves the creation of deep buffers along the North European Plain, while it divides and manipulates its neighbors, creating a new regional balance of power in Europe. What Russia cannot tolerate are tight borders without buffer zones, and its neighbors united against it. This is why Russia's future actions will appear to be aggressive but will actually be defensive."
Read more: Ukraine and the 'Little Cold War' | Stratfor
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