Quote:
Originally Posted by PeteMoss
Let's assume the Blues pick is 25th in 2015 (picked at random but probably the highest it will be), here's the last 15 guys selected 25th:
Michael McCarron
Jordan Schmaltz
Stuart Percy
Quinton Howden
Jordan Caron
Greg Neimsz
Patrick White
Patrik Berglund
Andrew Cogliano
Rob Schremp
Anthony Stewart
Cam Ward
Alexander Perezhogin
Steve Ott
Mikhail Kuleshov
People look at these draft picks and think, they're going to get the Ott or Ward from that list but there are more likely to get a guy who barely plays in the NHL.
Fans overrate picks and prospects like crazy these days. Easiest job in the world for fan support is to be a rebuilding GM. People were starting to like Feaster who's history showed him to be terrible when he started to acquire the magic jelly beans of prospects/draft picks. Its virtually a no-lose situation for a GM. If you acquire an established player people know what you've got right away, but a draft pick you've got 4 years of waiting to see the return.
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Yes, any individual pick is probably a miss. But that's precisely why you need a lot of them. If half of he Flames' 1st and 2nd round picks bust, and half of the Sabres' picks bust, who has the better pool of young talent in four years?
As bad as the odds of hitting a home run in the draft are, there's even worse odds of stealing a young guy who develops into a star from under the nose of the team that drafted him.