[undercoverbrother]

Originally Posted by CaptainCrunch

Unlikely from a tactical sense.

The supply lines for troops is way too long for any EU Troops. air drop is out of the question and you can't really drop enough heavy equipment to make a difference if the Russians do a build up on the Ukraine border.

The Russian Western Military District would supply troops, that includes the 6th and 12th army, Probably 150,000 men and I would get 200 to 300 tanks and armored personal carriers a couple of air assault divisions, and a Air defense regiment x2.

Since re-supply or forced entry would have to come by sea through the Black Sea, home of the Black Sea Fleet which is a pretty formidable combination of missile cruisers, destroyers, submarines built around the Heavy Guided missile cruiser Moskva.

The Russians could also move their Med fleet up,

The American Navy would have some trouble fighting in the Black Sea as they would be within range on Russian Frontal Aviation which could be shifted down from the North in a Hurry and be used to either attack Western Supplies or go after the Carriers that the Americans would shift up to the Black Fleet.

The Americans's would probably win that naval battle eventually but it would come at a heavy cost since the Russians know that if they can disable or take out American Carriers the remaining American ships would become a frigate navy, on top of that it would force the American's to shift carriers from other hot spots. Plus if you kill an American Aircraft Carrier with 5000 sailors and aviators on board in one attack the American's would probably lose their popular support at home. The only other Western power with a applicable carrier would be the De Gaulle which in terms of comparison would be an escort carrier with 40 strike aircraft. The Brits are effectively out of the Carrier game until 2016 when their new pocket carriers come out.

If the Russians decide to go into the Ukraine there's nothing that the European powers or America could do militarily and I doubt Obama would have the balls to even try.

On top of that, these aren't rag tag Taliban and Al'Queda insurgents that the American's would be facing, the Russian Western Military District is probably the best equip and best trained troops in the Russian Military, and they would almost certainly have the home field advantage in terms of brining in supplies and re-enforcements from other districts.

Perhaps this is a good time to see what sort of stones the new NATO countries have........