Quote:
Originally Posted by Street Pharmacist
We probably all agree this is fairly unsustainable. How does it play out? Internal or external forces cause regime change?
This problem is becoming more and more part of international consciousness, so I doubt it gets swept under the rug forever. My guess is when global economics improve, Western Nations begin pushing their governments to action
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There are only three ways that external change can occur
1) China decides enough is enough and decide on regime change. funnily enough China is fully infiltrated by the North Korean intelligence service (DPRK) Kim gets advanced warning and purges the sympathetic Chinese faction of his government, but stays in power by creating another enemy and formenting more trade with other rogue nations like Iran and Syria in a weapons for fuel and food deal.
2) The West says the suffering has to end, they can either
a) Send in special forces to whack him, but Kim moves from Palace to Palace and hes hard to pin down, NK's military eventually captures the special forces groups and embarrasses the west through show trials and demands for reparations.
b) South Korea launches the great unification and humanitarian mission over the border. North Korea is smart enough to fight a heavy delaying action while they wait for the summer time when armored warfare is nearly undoable. At the same time North Korea retaliates by launching over 100,000 rounds of artillary into Seoul killing thousands. China who likes North Korea just the way they are sends "volunteer forces" to act as peace keepers and sit in between the Western Forces and North Korea and rearm and supply North Korea's military. At that point China can decide to support or depose Kim, or offer him a lot of money to retire with his family to China.
3) The people rise up (unlikely) angry at the lack of food and an uncaring government the peasants rise up and rush the capital. Kim and the military who don't care about the people send the military in and quickly quash the rebellion. 10's of thousands die in days. Kim declares a greater ability to feed his loyal people and institutes a national gulag program where only the most loyal get any rations, the rest are worked to death. The DPRK now has free range, we see mass executions and show trials. At that point the Military might take its shot and rise up, but its doubtful because their military is fully infiltratted by the North Korean internal security and any talk of sedition is ruthlessly crushed.
Oh and the fourth option.
Kim rules for the next 20 years, then he decides to follow his grandfather and retire to the country, he appoints his son as the next heir and begins to train him on the fine art of leadership.