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Old 02-10-2014, 06:41 PM   #1008
sureLoss
Some kinda newsbreaker!
 
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Join Date: May 2004
Location: Learning Phaneufs skating style
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All right probability nerds and geeks:

Flames have 24 games left in the season.

sportsclubstats.com calculates the probability of where the Flames are to finish as:

30th 0.0%
29th 13.0%
28th 23.0%
27th 28.0%
26th 24.0%
25th 7.0%
24th 3.0%
23rd 1.0%
22nd 0.0%
21st 0.0%

Combine that with the draft lottery chances, these are the Flames chances at the picks:

1st 11.26%
2nd 3.25%
3rd 17.38%
4th 25.90%
5th 25.25%
6th 10.94%
7th 3.68%
8th 1.25%
9th 0.09%
10th 0.0%

(hopefully my math is correct)

Last edited by sureLoss; 02-10-2014 at 06:55 PM. Reason: found better odds on sportsculbstats
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