Quote:
Originally Posted by edslunch
There are NHL equivalence factors to predict NHL performance for skaters in lower leagues . Has anyone seen one for goalies?
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I have been thinking about the same thing. Couldn't find any info online, so I decided to create a rough "jump" statistic for goalies going from AHL to NHL (or vice versa). Took each goaltender who has played at least 10 games in both the AHL and NHL (in the same year) over this year and last. Weighted the numbers based on games played. Added Berra and Macdonald, who don't quite quality, because they are on the same team(s) as Ortio. Hopefully I didn't miss any.
Results:
GAA rises an average of 0.33. SV% drops by an average of 1.7%
This would put Ortio at 2.41, 91.3% aka better numbers than Ramo.
Not predicting Joni will have this kind of success, but those are the numbers. Here's hoping Ortio runs with the opportunity and gains some valuable experience heading back to Abbotsford at the break!