Quote:
Originally Posted by nik-
Well it's not bad, but in the grand scheme of things the wins are irrelevant. But again, If the odds are spread, your spot in the standings is still likely to be your spot or one pick lower than your spot, then you have the chance to move to 1, but likely that's your slot.
You're still going to have people hoping for losses because 2nd pick getting bumped to 3 is better than 6/7/8 and it always will be.
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Using the model I posted earlier:
30th - 14%
29th - 13%
28th - 12%
27th - 11%
26th - 10%
25th - 9%
24th - 8%
23rd - 7%
22nd - 5%
21st - 4%
20th - 3%
19th - 2%
18th - 1%
17th - 1%
Put into a random number generator, this is how the draft turned out for me:
Pick# - Standing - (+/-)
1 - 28th - (+2)
2 - 27th - (+2)
3 - 26th - (+2)
4 - 20th - (+7)
5 - 25th - (even)
6 - 29th - (-4)
7 - 30th - (-6)
8 - 19th - (+4)
9 - 23rd - (-1)
10 - 24th - (-3)
11 - 22nd - (-2)
12 - 17th - (+2)
13 - 21st - (-3)
14 - 18th - (-1)
Biggest gain - the 20th placed team got 4th overall
Biggest drop - the 30th placed team drafted 7th overall
If something like this were put into place, it'd still provide an advantage to bad teams, but there's not enough certainty to justify tanking.