Quote:
Originally Posted by CliffFletcher
The flip-side is that if he doesn't turn his game around, he'll be worth less in a year than he is now.
I'm not suggesting he should be traded. But first-rounders tend to bust gradually, and sound asset management - if management believes he isn't going to turn it around - would be to move him sooner rather than later.
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Completely disagree.
If you want to have success, you have to have 4 or 5 top quality guys.
There is a chance that Sven develops into that. But with what you would get by trading him now, there would be less chance. The only way you would retain as much upside would be in a swap of similar players - high upside but struggling and the likelihood of success waning.
And what would be the point of that? Why not just work with the one you've got?
The biggest variable in asset management, and the one that carries the most potential impact for a team, is the development of top level players from secondary prospects and lower draft picks. Obviously Sven wasn't a lower draft pick at 13, but his current status is now second tier. The best possible asset management is developing him into a solid player.
If it doesn't work out, the opportunity cost (what we could get for him in a trade today) is not that high.
Edit: giving up on young players early is a trademark of perennial bottom-dwellers like Florida and Atlanta