I suppose. Except that the relationship between Russia, France, and Saddam (whatever they were) served to assist in delaying military action (which the US and UK were looking for). So, if anything, the violations in the Program delayed the war, culminating in a rejection by the UN Security Council to endorse the action. That 'should' have deterred the US. Obviously it didn't. Sort of goes against the idea that the violations were a 'major' cause.
Still, it's an interesting idea.
Edit: Sry, partially misunderstood. I'm not sure how many 'chances' Saddam took as a result of his 'relationship' with France and Russia. Seems like he wasn't doing much other than resisting the weapon's inspectors, which, while bad, technically doesn't result in war. At least, that's the way it had worked up till that point.
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