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Originally Posted by Textcritic
I think that my reference drawn to the 2007 draft and OR's post that I linked above fairly effectively shows that making the NHL is not a good indicator of the best player available after only 18 months or 2 years of the draft in question. I haven't seen anything from you to challenge this argument.
"...a good indicator of BPA, is where they are now," IS A DECLARATION, and one that is fraught with problems, as I and others have shown.
Of course we will, but it would be foolish (as it ALWAYS is) to start making declarations about who was and who was not the best player available in the 2014 draft based on such an incredibly pre-mature collection of data. Once again, IT'S TOO EARLY.
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If we didn't pick the BPA at the time, second round picks would be worth as much as 1st round picks, etc. That things change is a given but it's the best we have, and has a track record. As for your reference all it shows is some anomalies.
You've shown nothing.
I'm not declaring who is the best pick from 2012 or 2014. I'm looking at where they are now and making my opinion known. If you don't like it that's your problem.
This is like during the Iraq war and someone saying it was too early to say if Bush is a good president or not. IMO it was pretty obvious at the time that he was a liar and a lousy president. Some things you don't have to wait ten years to arrive at an opinion.
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"...a good indicator of BPA, is where they are now," IS A DECLARATION, and one that is fraught with problems, as I and others have shown.
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Some things are just self evident but I'll play, what would you base your pick upon? You like the cut of their jib?