Quote:
Originally Posted by puckluck2
You were laughing as well when I said the junior team had no chance too weren't you? How'd that turn out.
Russia, Sweden, Americans and possibly Finland. I see a 5th place finish for Canada.
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Wow, what a prophet you are...........oh wait, even by your own definition you were still wrong. Explain to me how a team that made the semi's of the tournament is being used by you to justify your position that "Canada didn't have a chance to win" at the world juniors. Any team that made the semi's clearly had a pretty good "chance to win".
I think your problem is you don't understand odds and probabilities, and what that means. Canada not winning Olympic gold is not a very risky stance for you to take, and proves nothing about your statement despite them having the best team on paper right now.
Canada, had the BEST chance of any of the countries to win this tournament right now, because they have assembled the best team on paper. That doesn't mean that Canada winning the gold medal is the MOST LIKELY outcome if you look at the big picture. Canada is the most likely INDIVIDUAL nation at this point to win the gold because they have the best team, but the MOST LIKELY outcome right now is that 1 of the other 11 nations in the tournament will win the gold. Why, because their combined odds of winning are greater than Canada's individual odds of winning, but no other nation has a good of individual odds of winning as Canada.
Point being, you don't get to come in her post World Juniors or Post Olympics if Canada doesn't win gold and pretend you were right or knew what you were talking about because your opinion is one where you've given yourself 11 teams that can win (maybe 5 realistic chances) where the counter to your point will only accept ONE team winning (Canada) to be proven wrong. That's simply not an accurate way to look or try and back up your statements.
If your point is it's more likely that one of USA, Russia, Sweeden, Finland or Cezks will get gold over Canada, then way to go, you are correct. But if your point is as you actually said: Canada doesn't have a chance, then you are wrong. No individual nation is more likely at this point to win gold then Canada is.