Quote:
Originally Posted by Enoch Root
I really don't want to get dragged into the stats debate, but I just couldn't let this quote go because it is so fundamental...
There is a difference between cause and correlation, which I am certain you understand, but you have erred here nonetheless.
There is absolutely no evidence whatsoever that building your team to have a higher corsi will lead to success (that would be a causal relationship).
What seems clear from the evidence is that if you build a better team, your corsi will go up (a correlative relationship).
GMs should focus on building better teams, not improving corsi.
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I would direct you to this article.
on Fenwick. You'll find that a higher Fenwick close , which is shots and missed shots discounting blocked is a very good indicator of team success. The close part means that the game is within one goal in the first or 2nd and tied in the third.
Playoffs:
Missed playoffs:
That article is from before this year, and if you don't bother to read the article the only team to win the cup below a .500 Fenwick team(finished at .499) and that's because Bylsma took over half way through the year. With him they were a .549 Fenwick team.