Hakan,
i think the condition of the plane post-crash has more to do with the angle at which it hit than anything.
a lot of crashes (and footage) take place right by the runway, on approaches and takeoffs, and usually the fuselage is visible and burning.
but a high-angle impact, more than possible from a struggle, would look a lot different than the majority of airline crashes.
shootdown? i'm not ruling it out, but i don't cite the impact site as a deciding factor.
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