Quote:
Originally Posted by codynw
HA
Varlamov - 8 wins, 2 losses, .933sv% & 2.10GAA
Giguere - 4 wins, 0 losses, .977sv% and 0.75GAA
What is your definition of good goaltending?
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A .977 save % is not sustainable over time. It is luck that has it that high.
A .933 save % is possible if you are on a defensive minded team and are a Vezina Calibur goaltender.
A .925 save % would be realistic for a good goaltender.
Therefore the current goaltending stats will regress unless you believe Varlamov is a Venzina calibur goalie. I would agree that Colorado has average to above average goaltending though.
In terms of PDO (shooting % + save %) Colrado has a 1.053 which is a huge outlier the only team more lucky is the leafs at 1.055. Typically good NHL teams are at 1.025. This means out of every 100 shots they don't allow or score 2.5 more goals so there goal differential is roughly .8 goals per game better than the goal differential of a good team with average luck.
So colorado will come back to Earth somewhat. The flames also match up well against them so I think we have a good shot at pulling off the upset.