Quote:
Originally Posted by fotze
What is the chance of picking bottom three, if we finish last?
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100%
I think you meant what are the chances of picking 1st if we finish bottom 3?
last: 25% (or else pick 2nd)
2nd last: 18.8% chance of picking 1st, 25% chance of finishing 2nd, and a 56.2% chance of finishing 3rd
3rd last: 14.2% chance of picking 1st, 38% chance of picking 3rd, else 4th