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It is not impossible to think that Johnson could bounce back (see Lester, Lackey in 2013), if healthy.
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Impossible ? No. Unlikely I would say.
Lester has never had a Tommy John. Lackey was a model of health until last season.
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o I ask, what is the point you are trying to make? I'd take Johnson at 14 million for one season, at his 2012 statistics. No question about it. Bottom line, I'm dissapointed in Johnson's one season in Toronto, just as much as everyone else. What I am even more dissapointed in though, is he is walking away for nothing.
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My point is the team was smart to not throw 14 million at a bad gamble. Just because you are disapointed doesn't mean it makes sense to throw more good money after a bad asset.
You don't like wins (Fair enough, but a starters job is to WIN) how about Inning's pitched.
Here are his IP over his career:
2006 157.0
2007 15.2
2008 87.1
2009 209.0
2010 183.2 (Shut down for Tommy John)
2011 60.1
2012 191.1
2013 81.1 (Shut down for Injuries)
So three times out of 8 season he has put together a normal starting pitchers workload. And each time he had major arm injuries.
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Tim Lincecum - just signed a 2 year deal worth 35 million dollars.
18-5 * 2.62
15-7 * 2.48
16-10 * 3.43
13-14 * 2.74
10-15 * 5.18
10-14 * 4.37
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Lincecum doesn't get hurt, and gives you innings. He is also a hero in SF so the team is showing him some loyalty. And his numbers are still better then Johnson's.