It will be more clear after the next couple games.
Sharks, Kings, and Coyotes all have good center depth and the Flames will not be able to shelter Monahan with the last change on the road.
If he can hold his own in those games against the likes of Thornton, Couture, Pavelski, Richards, Kopitar, etc then he should stay up in the NHL. If he looks overwhelmed against those centers then he will be better served in the OHL.
These teams all make up our division now and he will have to be able to play against those centers for it to make sense to keep him up.
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