Quote:
Originally Posted by edslunch
Advanced stats are interesting and I'm willing to believe there's something to them. But the advanced stats crowd seems to always ignore the other side of the equation, which is results. Monahan is getting results, regardless of his advanced stats. His shooting percentage may be high but that's going to happen when you put yourself in a position to redirect a pass into a wide open net.
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Just to address this point. The problem with results is that they're so heavily based on luck that if you focus on them you'll get a very skewed view of a player/team.
Advanced stats try to remove the luck factor as much as possible and focus on things that are in the players control.
As per Monahan's 30% shooting percentage, it's not high, it's simply very fortunate. The highest shooting percentages year in year out are only over 10%. Monahan WILL regress to the mean on his shooting percentage. What that percentage indicates is that in these first five games the bounces have been going his way. Like Baertschi's pass landing right on his blade instead of it the puck skipping on some bad Saddledome ice.
Now Monahan is making his own luck, he's finding open places, he's being productive. The puck isn't bouncing off his ass and into the net. But why you'd look at advanced stats is to understand just how much Monahan is influencing the play of the team.