Quote:
Originally Posted by MarchHare
That means absolutely nothing. Very few black people vote for the Republican Party. Clinton, Gore, and Kerry all won the black vote by huge margins too.
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Nobody has won a demographic by as many points as Obama won the black vote in 2008. Romney didn't even come close to that number among Mormans in 2012.
It isn't so much about how many members of a demographic a candidate can carry, but where they can carry them. Rubio would undoubtedly carry Florida, which would give him a solid 29 electoral votes more than what Romney won in 2012. That gets him to 235, if you assume that he can hold every state that Romney won. Add in New Mexico, whom Rubio would presumably carry with the Latino vote, and you're at 240. Colorado is worth nine, which gets him to 249. Nevada has six, so that's 255. He'd only have to pick off another 16 votes to win. Ohio would obviously be in play anyway, but the Latino factor could turn traditionally Democratic strongholds like New Jersey or even California into the mix. If either of them or New York are even being contested, it is lights out for Hillary or any other Democratic candidate.
Guys like John McCain and John Boehner are well aware of this, and that is why they are pushing so hard for a comprehensive immigration bill. Of course the Tea Party are against it, and this is what will absolutely doom the Republicans to a generation of losses in the Presidential races if they fail to address it properly.