Quote:
Originally Posted by Rjcsjc62
I'm splitting hairs here, but I dont believe this 100% true. Maybe more like, winning friday gives us 98% chance of hosting a playoff game.
There is one scenerio that we could win this game, and still end up third in the west.
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For some reason, I wasn't thinking about Calgary having yet another game against BC yet. So, Calgary winning doesn't guarantee that they win a tiebreaker over BC in the end.
Calgary won over BC by 12 points earlier this year, and BC beat Calgary by 4 points. So for BC to win a tiebreaker over Calgary at the end of the season (having lost to Calgary tomorrow), they would have to win by more than 8 + the margin of Calgary's victory tomorrow. And that only would come into play if Calgary loses two straight coming into that game, and BC wins both.
IF Calgary beats BC tomorrow night, the only way Calgary can finish behind BC is if Calgary loses the last three games, BC wins the last three games, and BC beats Calgary by enough points (at least 10, assuming Calgary's win over BC is only 1 point tomorrow)
No matter what happens in any other game, Calgary beating Sask in two weeks guarantees that Calgary finishes ahead of Sask (though that could be guaranteed before that game starts)