Quote:
Originally Posted by Flames Fan, Ph.D.
Colborne is a 2008 draftee. So if we had a 2008 draftee that was unable to crack the team, would you keep him and hope he pans out or trade him for a 4th?
I think the fairer comparison for this trade is what percentage of kids, 5 years after being drafted, haven't yet cracked an NHL team but will still turn out to be good players? Compare that to your chance of finding a better player with a 4th round pick.
In your listed Flames draftees, 2 of 9 have a hope. Is the chance of finding a 5 year out reclamation project like Colborne more than 2 in 9? My gut feeling is that a fresh 4th round pick is a better bet than this type of reclamation project. Once we have a decent set of games in the Joe Colborne sample, I hope I'm very wrong.
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Colborne is a 1990 baby, same as:
Cundari, Jooris, Knight and Hanowski.
Is it too late for all of them as well? Trade 'em all for picks?