Quote:
Originally Posted by fotze
No, just people who are 100% certain (or close to that number) of things where it is not possible to be that sure. First person I thought of was Iggy when I heard that comment, I just realize that is it quite possible I am wrong though to be really sure of it.
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People use strong language on the internet. There are a surprising number of players in the best league in the world who are "brutal" and "beyond garbage" on a nightly basis. You can't really quantify their level of certainty even though they argue a certain position.
The Dunning-Kruger effect has to do with overestimating one's competence in some skill. Being a hockey fan isn't a well-defined skill. Interpreting what happens inside your favorite hockey team is subject to many different types of reasoning and biases. And in any case, the idea isn't that certainty implies being wrong. Effects aside, it's entirely possible to be more certain about something simply because you've spent more time thinking about it, and conversely it's possible see someone as unreasonably sure in their opinions simply because you haven't really wanted to seriously consider the evidence.