Quote:
Originally Posted by strombad
I don't think Louie factors in to the Toronto/Boston trade at all. That is going a little too deep into it, because you're then basing the original trade on asset management and the ability of the GM of the Dallas Stars.
Even judging it as "Kessel vs. Seguin/Hamilton" is a little silly if you think about it. You're judging a trade that was a known commodity for two unknowns based on what those unknowns turned out to be. The problem with that is had Toronto kept those picks, there's no guarantee that Toronto would have chosen those two guys. What if they had drafted.... I don't know, Gudbranson and Seimens instead? I'd rather have Kessel. As far as the debate of Seguin/Kessel goes, I'd much rather have Seguin as a building block, he's better now than Kessel was at the same point in his career.
I think what we have to consider is the trade as it was, not as how it turned out to be.
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People always consider trades with how they turned out to be. That is ultimately how all trades end up being judged. At the time of the trade the analysts always say things like "this trade might look good right now but in a couple years it might not!".
This is especially true when the trade includes things like future first round draft picks. Will those draft picks be worth a lot (top 3) or worth a little (28-30)? It makes a massive difference where those picks end up landing. Then you need to consider the player that ends up being drafted in that position. If you do not consider what those draft picks turned into then you will never actually be able to judge the full impact of the trade.