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Originally Posted by Tinordi
Yeah it was a stretch in that episode to write in J esse figuring out the cigarette thing.
It's never really explained how he pieces it together.
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This is just another one of those things that shouldn't need to be explained out slowly, all the hints are there.
Jesse previously suspected one of Saul's guys from lifting the ricin cigarette from his pocket, he was talked out of this by Walt as he manipulated him into thinking it was Gus who poisoned Brock. As Jesse was leaving Saul's office in last nights episode Huell blocked Jesse slightly from exiting the office, saying "excuse me!" and lifting the baggie of joints from Jesse's pocket.
As Jesse was waiting for the vacuum salesmen, he opened his pack of cigarettes, noticed his joints were also missing and quickly pieced together that he was correct all along about Saul lifting the ricin.
It wasn't explained out but it was pretty obvious that's how he pieced it all together.