Quote:
Originally Posted by New Era
Can we agree that a offensive philosophy is going to increase scoring and a defensive philosophy is going to decrease scoring? Can we agree that team philosophy is going to have some effect on a player's ability to produce points? Can we agree that a player's psychological strength is going to have an impact on his scoring? Can we also agree that a player's psychological strength may be tested by the conditions under which his team is managed? Now, can we agree that these factors, which are not measurable by NHL-E can have a significant affect on outcomes?
|
Yup, agree with all of this. What you don't realize is that with enough data points in the set, these effects should be averaged out. If there are 10 players playing in an offensive system increasing their scoring, and 10 players playing in a defensive system decreasing their scoring, these effects should (very roughly) cancel out. With a lot of data points, you get even more accurate results.