Quote:
Originally Posted by Tinordi
What would be a useful test is to evaluate draft years using NHL-E as your main statistic to predict player outcomes. Would NHL-E perform better writ-large over the past 10 years for example? Is anyone aware of such an analysis?
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NHL-E is based on ESP/G which is a reasonable indicator of a players true offensive impact, so you're basically saying rank players by ESP/G factoring in differences between leagues (something NHL-E is explicitly designed to do). Apart from dropping all defence men out of the first round I would shocked if this didn't produce good results, writ large.
Where I have a problem is when posters use this writ small as an absolute test for an individual players potential early in their development.