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Originally Posted by New Era
I know exactly what the stat is supposed to be used for and how it is applied. What I described is what really happens with it.
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Lol. "I know that my explanation was actually completely wrong. I was just trying to illustrate a common misconception. That's why what I said was factually incorrect."
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No, there is nothing to it. There is a reason why real statisticians do not bother trying to model complex systems like team sports. If they were really capable of generating a predictive model they would do so and take Vegas for every cent they have. There isn't enough reliability in these models so they have no true value. If there was any value to them teams would be firing their scouting staffs and hiring rooms full of stat nerds.
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Every single sentence in this paragraph is factually incorrect. There are hundreds of books, websites, and people being employed doing statistical analysis of sports, and every major league sports team employs people who use statistical analysts. Their accuracy and limitstions have been clearly quantified and delineated. Your statement that statisticians don't even try to model sports is just plain ######ed. There are statisticians who do nothing but model sports. For sports teams.
You want to convince people that this is voodoo? Show us that there is no statistical correlation between NHL-E and a player's point production in the NHL. Or better yet, don't bother, because it gets done by many people every year, and SPOILER ALERT: there is a correlation.