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Old 08-16-2013, 07:49 PM   #587
sureLoss
Some kinda newsbreaker!
 
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Join Date: May 2004
Location: Learning Phaneufs skating style
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Just playing around with league equivalencies I calculated the equivalency of a player from Canadian HS to the NCAA to be 0.14.

The league equivalency of going from the OPJHL to the NCAA is 0.32 according to http://www.behindthenet.ca/blog/2008...or-junior.html.

I was able to find 8 players since 2010 that went from Canadian HS immediately to the OPJHL and determined the equivalency to be 0.45 with a standard deviation of 0.22. Small sample size I know, but its the largest number of players going from Can Hs to a NCAA feeder league I could find

Therefore by combining the Can HS to OPJHL equivlancey with the previously known OPJHL to NCAA equivlancey we get a Can HS to NCAA equivalence of 0.14.

Now given Jankowski's Can HS Pts/g of 1.39 and the Can Hs to NCAA equivalence, he should have only scored 6 to 7pts in 34 games in the NCAA.

So what can we conclude?
1. Jankowski's 18 pts in 34 games is much higher than it should be according to league equivalencies (almost 3 times higher). It implies has made a remarkable adjustment to a higher level of hockey or perhaps this season is just a fluke...
2. There is a flaw in league equivalencies (either in my methodology of calculating [i.e. small sample size] and using them or just with league equivalencies in general).

Anyways some food for thought, and I will leave you to draw your own conclusions.
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