Quote:
Originally Posted by tempz
He is saying defencemen who can't put up points in Junior do not have enough hockey IQ to be able to play regular minutes in the NHL, in any role. And statistics back his statement. So how is that very flawed?
Everyone arguing with Backcheck needs to read what Sureloss linked a few pages back, copied above for ease of clicking. Those blog posts explain the theory very clearly, it has to do with .6 PPG in your draft year or within two seasons of your draft year. Meaning statistically speaking this is a massive year for Sieloff.
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Look, if equating junior points, statistically, to becoming an nhl player was real and actually proven, then scouting would become very, very easy. Yes, they are important,no doubt in my mind, and the numbers do tell a story. However, with everything, correlation between two things does not prove causality. There Are other intangible, not measurable factors which play massive roles in whether a player will make the NHL and become a regular. Determination, hockey iq ( which also cannot be equated to points), leadership are some qualities which follow this point. There is a reason we gave this kid a contract, and there is a reason why you and I and everyone here are posting on a forum and feaster and his scouts are getting paid to make hockey decisions. Not saying your wrong, or backcheck is wrong, in fact I really enjoy the fact that you have strong proof to backup your statement, but I would like for you and backcheck and whoever else to consider that maybe, just maybe, getting points isn't the make or break point for a player, especially depending on his/her role. If anything, you are looking for a decline. Then you can be a little more worried about him. But again even that is a crap shoot. The reality is, we won't know hat he can do u less he puts on a flames jersey and is given a chance. Everything else is simply speculation.