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Old 08-11-2013, 01:16 PM   #403
SebC
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Flames Draft Watcher View Post
Not sure WTF you're talking about. Most centres taken are not potential #1 centres. In fact it's rare to find a potential #1 centre taken outside the top 10 of the draft except in deep years.

Pretty clear our scouts thought Jankowski was the BPA. Hopefully he will be.
The "ceiling and likelihood" method is evaluating talent is an approximation. An absolute ceiling doesn't exist. What you actually have in a prospect is a "potential function", i.e. each different level of potential has its own (non-zero) likelihood.
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