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I wish we had this discussion yesterday, because I could have used your prognostication skills before the Powerball drawing!
I think the Flames will be fine in top end talent. They are going to be bottom of the barrel for the next two seasons and that should recoup them one of Reinhart or Ekblad. With the losses of Cammalleri, Stajan and Stempniak this season we will probably be worse in 2014-15 and have an honest shot at McDavid. If this does play out, the Flames will have more high end talent, at more positions, in a shorter period of time, than the Oilers. That also doesn't include the prospect depth that we have built up quickly over the past three years.
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My point here is that I think the Flames are further ahead than the Oilers were in their come to Jesus moment. Because of which, I think it's less likely that the Flames will be as bad as the Oilers to lock up the kind of talent the Oilers did during the 'pain' stages of the rebuild.
And it doesn't even need to be argued from an on-ice perspective. The basic odds of getting three firsts in succession, now under the new rules are vanishingly small.
As an aside, you're calling me out for using a crystal ball then you go on to say that we're going to draft Ekblad or McDavid. I'm saying that the odds aren't good to do so and you're basically saying that we're going to win the lottery. So who's picking the Keno numbers here again?