Quote:
Originally Posted by FlamesAddiction
This is where I have trouble balancing upside and likelihood of actually realizing the upside. Do you rank a boom/bust type of player with very high upside potential over another player with low upside, but a high probability of making the show?
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I agree its a tough line.
Years ago I had guys rate prospects both on likelihood and potential, but even with those done the debate just switched to weighting between the two. At 50/50 it was interesting to see how a super skilled guy would rate against a sure thing with a limited ceiling.
Creates a good debate certainly.
Likelihood certainly came into my first three picks as I have Monahan a more likely 15 year NHL'r then Baertschi (injuries) and Gaudreau (size)