Quote:
Originally Posted by GGG
Which stat are you using for luck. If it is straight PDO then this fits what the article was saying where he was taking 3 parts league average shooting and 1 part team shooting and 2 parts league SV% and 1 part team SV%.
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http://www.hockeyabstract.com/luck
I went here, and ranked the teams by the luck field. I just looked if the top half did in fact have a decrease in points the next season.
I did not weight the formula at all, so the first set of number I gave, it did not matter if you were the luckiest team or the 15th luckiest team. I counted you the same way.
I was just trying to gauge if he was effectively predicting that a due was due for an adjustment up or down.