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Old 07-31-2013, 02:21 PM   #18
opendoor
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Join Date: Apr 2007
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I'm not sure I see how a team like Ottawa with a .933 team save percentage (10 points higher than the 2nd best team) is due for a positive correction based on the percentages. Yeah they'll likely gain some goals with fewer injuries, but their sv% played a massive role. The median sv% for teams was .913 which means over an 82 game schedule (about 2600 shots against), Ottawa would have more than 50 fewer goals against relative to the median.

Even if they still get great goaltending next year and have a team sv% of let's say .920 (good for 4th in the league last season), they'd still allow about 33 more GA than their pace last year.

Granted they did have a poor shooting percentage which should go up, but I'm not sure I see much there to predict them becoming an elite team next season.
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