If the bet is simply 30th or not 30th, you should take it.
I believe the Flames have as good of a chance of finishing 30th as any team in the league. However, there are several teams capable, so the odds are not 50/50 for the Flames.
And as someone else said, it's a Texas hedge - if they do finish last, at least we'll get the consolation prize of another stud pick.
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