Quote:
Originally Posted by Flames Draft Watcher
What is wrong with the logic that says the 6th overall in a deep year is much more like the 3rd overall in a weak year?
I've seen some quotes recently that Monahan would've gone #1 in the last 3 drafts. And he's ranked in the 6-8 range by most.
Seems clear to me that comparing our pick to #6 picks in weak draft years doesn't make much sense.
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We are getting too bogged down in the numbers (my fault). The important thing to me is where the elite guys are cut off. Last year it seemed to be after 3, this year it is 4 or maybe 5 if you include Nichushkin. I consider the difference between 4 and 6 to be significant enough that the pick goes from untradeable to "only trade for a top player". I find it interesting that people disagree, but I think the last 32 years indicates that a lot of mistakes are made just outside that elite group.
It is great that we have six and hopefully Monahan will pan out, unless the Oilers draft him, but the risk that he or Lindholm won't seems real enough to me that it is much easier to consider trading the pick than if it were 4.