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Old 06-16-2013, 03:01 PM   #376
ricardodw
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Quote:
Originally Posted by CliffFletcher View Post
In how many drafts have the 22nd and 28th picks both yielded impact players?
Taking the 10 spot around the Flames 2 pick 20-29

2009 - 1 solid NHL - Johanssen (8 guys still with a chance) and 1 bust
2008 - 4 solid NHL Del Zotto, Eberle, Ennis and Carlson (maybe Tendeby) and 5 mistakes including Nemisz
2007 4 solid NHL - Max Pacioretty, Blum, Backlund, brendan Smith (maybe O'Brien) and 5 busts
2006 4 solid NHL Giroux, Varmalov,Berglund, Foligno and 5 busts including Irving
2005 6 solid NHL Rask, Bergfors, Oshie, Cogliano, Niskanen, Downie and 4 busts including Pelech
2004 7 solid NHL - Zajac, Wolski, Mezzaross, Schnieder,Jeff schultz Fistric, Mike green - 3 busts including Chucko and Schremp
2003 - 7 solid NHL (4 all stars) Burns, Stuart, Kessler, Richards, Boyle,Perry and eaves and the guys that were bust were not that bad Tambellini, Pouliet, anthony Stewart all had around 200 NHL games.

so over the years that there has been enough time to judge the results it seems that there is a 50-50 chance that 20-29th pick will be a solid NHLer

2013 from all appearances is a better year so that would raise it to 6 or 7 out of 10.

Chances that both the Flames picks are duds taking 60% chance of success is 16%.... Ie the chances that the Flames get at least one player is 84%.

Chances that both are solid NHLers 36%
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