Quote:
Originally Posted by FlamesAddiction
I doubt they will be decimated as there is no 3rd party to take votes from them like the Liberals (NDP) and Conservatives (Reform) had in the past when they were decimated by each other. There are too many people who are loyal to "their side" at all costs (both liberals and conservatives in this country), that without a 3rd party option, it doesn't make a huge difference.
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It's hard to tell this far out from an election, but the early indications are that the Conservatives have dipped significantly in the polls recently, and that they would lose by a substantial margin if an election were held tomorrow.
http://www.threehundredeight.com/201...-averages.html
Of course, there's nothing like the volume of data you get in U.S. elections, and we do have some recent examples of Canadian pollsters just "getting it wrong" for whatever reason--but to me these numbers do look like the sort of numbers that ought to make Stephen Harper reach for the pepto-bismol.
On the other hand, they aren't "Liberal majority" numbers either.