Quote:
Originally Posted by Daradon
Well voting difference isn't the same as approval ratings. I don't think anyone here is suggesting ANY candidate would with with a 9-1 spread. That never happens for anyone.
But Rutherford would get squished about as bad as anyone running against Klein in his incumbent years. Whatever that percentage was.
Nenshi finished up pretty handily in a flat race last time. Being the incumbent this time, and one of the most popular mayors we've had, it's not close. It's not Bronco running again here.
I also think you're overestimating just how much weight Rutherford would carry in an election. Sure he's interesting, he can get people behind him etc., makes a good personality. But he'd has zero clout in politics so far and he'd most likely piss off more people than he'd get behind his banner.
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I wouldn't call having a listenership of a quarter of the province 'zero clout'. If he hadn't given Danielle Smith interviews since day one of her leadership race, the Wildrose wouldn't have been as well known as they were going into the election. It isn't all attributable to him, but he certainly has helped foment discontent with the PCs since Ed was Premier.
That is not 'zero clout'.
I'm not sure he'd beat Nenshi, but if the entire federal CPC establishment backs him, as they did the Wildrose, I wouldn't say that he'd get completely wiped out either.