Quote:
Originally Posted by Enoch Root
Just for some perspective and comparison, the NFL draft value chart separates the 4th and 6th picks by 200 points, which would equate to a mid 3rd round pick (78th pick to be precise).
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This is the statement I disagree with. You are using the chart without recalibrating based on the standard talent distribution curve of the NHL vs the NFL. This is along the lines of the exampe of trying to draft 10 year olds with the same model but not as extreme.
Additionally it ignores that scouts statements that there is a top 4 that is better and a top 7-9 that is better with discrete drop offs between the groups. Since we know these things you cant just say it should only take a 3rd round pick based on this chart.
I will agree with you that in general establishing a drafte value ranking system is possible with calibration based on the curve for that particular sport which can be used to quickly evaluate a winner or overpayment. However your above statement is not supported by the model you are using.