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Old 04-26-2013, 04:20 PM   #1715
kehatch
First Line Centre
 
Join Date: Jul 2010
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Quote:
Originally Posted by McG View Post
After all that we have just seen, and with the Flames I don't know why we would dismiss it. I think it is looking like we draft in 7th which already takes care of your first unlikelihood.

The mathematical fact is that it is possible, however improbable or unlikely.

There is entirely a chance that it happens.

We could also win the draft lottery.

I wrote my signature when we were at our lowest and I feared the worst; now I would be happy to get it.
I didn't say it is impossible we drop to 8. I just said it is unlikely.

There is a 12.3% chance a team 8 through 14 wins the lottery. Plus there is still a chance we move up to anywhere from 4 to 7. Plus, chances are that someone drafts Nischushkin, Zadarov, Domi or someone like that in the top 7 leaving one of those 7 players available to us at 8th.

When you combine all that the chances of the Flames not having access to one of Jones, MacKinnon, Drouin, Barkov, Nurse, Monahan, or Lindholm it is very remote.
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