So I just did a quick calc.
Flames can't finish worse than 7th, or better then 4th. To get 4th we will need Car to get OTL or better against Pitt, Edm to get 2 points from its remaining 2 games (Min, Van) and Nashville to beat Columbus with Calgary losing to Chicago.
As it stands now the Flames have a 4.7% chance of 1st overall, 83% chance at 7th overall, and a 12.3% of 8th overall. This is worst case scenarios.
Best case scenario the above happens we will move into 4th worst. Meaning we would have a 10.7% chance at 1st overall, 58% chance at 4th overall, and a 31.3% chance at 5th overall
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