[Wolven]

Originally Posted by GGG

But at least as we finish higher the probability of that happening drops. If we finish 7th, I believe it is better than 90% that we pick 7th.

Here are the exact odds of each position winning the draft lottery.

Spoiler!

Team 1 25.0%
Team 2 18.8%
Team 3 14.2%
Team 4 10.7%
Team 5 8.1%
Team 6 6.2%
Team 7 4.7%
Team 8 3.6%
Team 9 2.7%
Team 10 2.1%
Team 11 1.5%
Team 12 1.1%
Team 13 0.8%
Team 14 0.5%

10.2% chance we move down from 7 to 8.
4.7% chance we move from 7 to 1.
85.1% chance we stay at 7.