Quote:
Originally Posted by opendoor
Moving into the top 5 is basically impossible and even getting into the top 10 is tough. You can look through past drafts to see that:
http://prosportstransactions.com/hoc...tTrades/Years/
Here's a list of trades that involved a team moving up in a draft that involved a top 10 pick since 2000:
2008:
-2nd and a 3rd to move from 7th to 5th
-2nd to move from 9th to 7th
2007:
-2nd and a 3rd to move from 13th to 9th
2005:
-2nd and a 7th to move from 12th to 8th
2004:
-2nd to move from 8th to 4th
2003:
-3rd to move from 3rd to 1st
2002:
-4th to move from 10th to 9th
So it hasn't happened in almost 5 years and even when it has happened the movement has been very small. |
Sure but it is rare that a team drafting top 10 has two additional 1st rounders to use as trade bait. Certainly that doesn't happen every year. We can see that moving up 2-4 spots that high in the draft usually costs a 2nd or a 2nd and another pick. This would suggest that a late 1st or mid 1st should be enough to move up 3-4 spots into the top 5 in terms of value.
I'm sure the Flames will explore moving up. What we have to hope is that one of the teams a few spots ahead of us has a wacky draft list and is really high on a guy that they think will be available a few picks later. Nichushkin remains a real wildcard as I'm sure some teams will stay far away from him due to the Russian issues and I'm sure some teams will have him ranked fairly high due to his size/speed/skill combo. Our best chance of moving up may be if a team a few spots ahead of us is in love with Nichuskin and thinks he'll still be available at our pick.