Quote:
Originally Posted by Ark2
He's been the Liberal leader for a week now. Who knows how his popularity stacks up Ignatieff? I guess we will have to wait and see how things turn out over the next 2 years, but I think all Trudeau will accomplish is winning back the votes that the NDP got last election. This will likely be enough to prevent a Conservative majority, but not defeat them.
|
It depends on whether or not the country is willing to continue being scared. I would guess most of the ground the NDP made last election under Layton will evaporate in his absence. The Bloc is smashed. The NDP has no leader that inspires the way Jack Layton did.
Justin Trudeau has to present a reasonable vision for Canada; he has to be seen as a uniter, not a fearmonger.
Harper's last three elections have seen him run against the minority PM who was heavily tainted by the sponsorship scandal, Stephane Dion, and Michael Ignatieff. He's run essentially unopposed, and he's taken three elections to get a majority. That indicates that most Canadians don't like him, but after two straight minorities and a field of no other viable alternatives, they gave him a go.
If the Liberals are remotely competent in the next election, and their new leader is the charismatic visionary they hope he is, he will defeat Harper. You simply cannot be as disliked as he is.